Should You Buy Toncoin in 2025?

Why trust HelloSafe?

At HelloSafe, our expert has been closely monitoring the performance of the Toncoin cryptocurrency for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Canada rely on us to analyze market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, HelloSafe has never purchased Toncoin or received any compensation from entities associated with its ecosystem.

Toncoin in brief

How much does 1 Toncoin cost?

The price of Toncoin is rising this week. TON is currently trading at approximately 4.20 CAD, showing a 2.24% gain over the past seven days but a decrease of 5.77% in the last 24 hours. Its market capitalization stands at around 10.45 billion CAD, with a three-month average daily trading volume close to 111.4 million CAD. TON ranks 10th among cryptocurrencies by market cap, with 2.49 billion tokens in circulation and about 0.56% market dominance. With recent volatility and growing adoption, Toncoin remains a dynamic option for investors seeking exposure to Canada’s evolving crypto ecosystem.

Our full review of the Toncoin cryptocurrency

Have we reached an inflection point for Toncoin? Our analysis of Toncoin’s latest trends and price action over the past three years leverages proprietary algorithms integrating on-chain analytics, technical signals, market data, and competitive landscape insights. So, why might Toncoin emerge in 2025 as a strategic entry point in the rapidly evolving Web3 and Telegram-linked crypto ecosystem?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Price Evolution

In mid-May 2025, Toncoin (TON) is trading at $3.08 USD, reflecting a volatile period: -5.77% intraday, +2.24% over one week, and a notable correction of -41.14% in six months and -55% over a year. This aligns with broader crypto market headwinds but also indicates recent stabilization and accumulation phases. The current price remains below both the 20- and 50-day moving averages, reinforcing the notion that seller exhaustion could soon give way to renewed upside momentum.

Positive Recent Developments

• Telegram Integration: The deepening relationship with Telegram (hundreds of millions of global users) underpins new adoption vectors and mainstream accessibility for TON.
• Technology Upgrades: The rollout of TON Applications Chain (TAC), leveraging Polygon architecture, broadens the utility and developer appeal of TON's ecosystem.
• Market Outperformance: Early May 2025 saw Toncoin surpass Shiba Inu in market cap, spotlighting its growing relevance in the layer-1 blockchain space.
• Wallet Innovation: Launch of MyTONWallet V3.6 and scaling of dApps have underpinned usage growth and real-world transactions.

Macro and Sector Tailwinds

Despite short-term volatility, digital asset markets remain buoyed by:

• Ongoing institutionalization of crypto and blockchain infrastructure.
• Renewed interest in scalable, payment-focused blockchains post Ethereum gas hikes.
• Layer-1 competition favoring solutions with powerful network effects (such as Telegram’s embedded audience).
• Regulatory clarification in key jurisdictions, supporting investor participation.

Technical Analysis

Key Crypto Indicators

• RSI (14 days): 44.95 indicates neutral momentum—Toncoin is neither overbought nor oversold—priming the market for a potential move once directional conviction builds.
• MACD (12,26,9): 0.0281 shows a bullish cross, signaling that momentum could soon favor buyers.
• Moving Averages: TON’s price currently sits below its key 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages ($3.21, $3.24, $3.35, $4.43 respectively). In classic trend analysis, this often signals a mature consolidation zone with strong upside potential on any breakout.

Support and Resistance, Momentum Landscape

• Support: $2.91 (lower Bollinger band) stands as a robust technical floor; buyers have consistently entered in this zone, reducing downside risk.
• Resistance: $3.51 (upper Bollinger band) is the immediate hurdle; a sustained break above could signal trend reversal and open the path to $4.00 (consensus analyst target).
• The technical backdrop suggests a market in consolidation, with a growing probability of upward reversal given improving sentiment and historical buying interest near current levels.

Fundamental Analysis

Growing Adoption and Strategic Partnerships

• Telegram Network Effects: The core value proposition remains Toncoin’s unique integration with Telegram’s massive user base, supporting frictionless access and distribution at scale.
• Ecosystem Growth: Emerging partnerships (e.g., Ethena, Polygon-based TAC) and accelerated dApp activity create a network effect that positions TON as an infrastructure layer of choice for payments, DeFi, and gaming.
• User Growth Metrics: Adoption and transaction volumes are surging, outpacing many competitors and signaling depth and stickiness in the ecosystem.

Attractive Relative Valuation

• Market Capitalization: At $7.66B, Toncoin is among the top 15 crypto assets, but its market cap/Fully Diluted Valuation ratio remains attractive when factoring in its adoption curve relative to L1 peers.
• Liquidity: $81.7M daily trading volume underscores substantial market participation and lowers execution risk for substantial buy/sell orders.

Structural Strengths

• Technological Edge: TON’s multi-layer blockchain architecture achieves transaction speeds in the millions per second, making it highly competitive for mass-market payments and microtransactions.
• Community & Governance: Active development steered by the TON Foundation ensures a robust open-source ethos and sustainable evolution.
• Tokenomics: 2.49B tokens circulating out of 5.11B total supply provides both scarcity and growth runway.

Market Depth and Dominance

• Consistently within the crypto top 15 by market cap.
• Outperforming meme-coins in both capital flows and developer engagement.

Catalysts and Future Growth Vectors

• Upcoming Protocol Upgrades: Continued technical roadmap execution (notably in DeFi, NFTs, and chain integrations) is expected, further expanding addressable use cases.
• Institutional & Retail Adoption: As soon as mainstream Telegram integration activates seamless TON payments at scale, usage could spike exponentially.
• Favorable Regulation: Easing legal uncertainties in key markets could act as a springboard for broader investor participation.

Investment Strategies According to Time Horizon

Short-Term Strategies (0–6 months)

• Entry Zone: Current price range near $3.08, just above multi-month support, offers an apparent opportunity for tactical positioning on anticipated technical rebound or protocol news.
• Trade Setup: Accumulate on dips below $3.00; target quick rotations toward resistance at $3.51 and $4.00.

Medium-Term Outlook (6–24 months)

• Catalysts: Forthcoming Telegram features, ecosystem dApps, and high-profile partnerships could reinforce market confidence.
• Ideal Entry: Phased accumulation during market consolidations or before major protocol upgrades.
• Targets: Monitor for breakouts above $4.00 as confirmation of a new bullish cycle.

Long-Term Conviction (2–5 years)

• Fundamental Play: Growth of Web3 payments across Telegram and global decentralized apps signals transformative potential.
• Hold Rationale: Integration, scalability, and relentless product innovation support a powerful investment thesis.
• Accumulation: Build core positions on any market-wide risk-off events, or prior to high-impact roadmap milestones.

Toncoin Price Projections Table

Is Now the Right Time to Consider Toncoin?

• Key Strengths:
• Unique integration with Telegram—unprecedented user access and adoption leverage.
• Leading-edge blockchain technology (million TPS, multi-layered scalability).
• Growing and engaged developer ecosystem, underpinned by robust partnerships.
• Appealing valuation among Layer-1 blockchains, with persistent liquidity and high market depth.
• Clear technical supports; indicators point to an inflection toward renewed accumulation.
• Major protocol upgrades and ecosystem integrations acting as near- and mid-term catalysts.

Projection & Conviction: All elements point to Toncoin representing an excellent opportunity, with fundamentals justifying renewed interest and the prospect of a fresh bullish phase. Its structural advantages, coupled with strong adoption triggers and a recovering technical profile, mean Toncoin is poised to capture outsized gains should the broader crypto cycle turn constructive. Astute investors will likely recognize the confluence of factors currently aligning in TON’s favor—2025 and beyond could well mark the beginning of a new era for this strategic crypto asset.

Toncoin remains a high-volatility cryptocurrency, offering excellent opportunities for dynamic investment but requiring disciplined risk management. Recent price stabilization and momentum signals highlight Toncoin’s ability to generate vigorous moves, but shifting macro conditions reinforce a selective approach. Key technical levels to watch include $2.91 as immediate support and $3.51 as major resistance. The upcoming protocol upgrade, slated for H2 2025, stands out as a potential inflection point for Toncoin’s future trajectory.

How to buy Toncoin?

It is both simple and secure to buy Toncoin (TON) online through a regulated platform in Canada. Investors generally have two main options: purchasing Toncoin directly (spot buying), which means owning the actual asset, or trading its price movements via crypto CFDs (Contracts for Difference) without owning the coin itself. Each method has its own advantages and costs, and it’s important to choose the approach that matches your investment profile. For a thorough comparison of available Canadian platforms and their respective fees, see the comparison table further down this page.

Spot Purchase

Buying Toncoin “on the spot” means you acquire the real cryptocurrency and can store it in your digital wallet. This method gives you genuine ownership of your assets, which you can hold, transfer, or use at any time. When buying Toncoin through a Canadian crypto exchange, expect to pay a fixed commission per transaction, typically ranging from 0.5% to 1% of the trade value, charged in Canadian dollars (CAD).

Example with numbers:

Suppose TON is trading at $4.20 CAD per coin. With an investment of $1,000 CAD, and considering an estimated $5 CAD transaction fee, you could purchase approximately 237 TON ($1,000 - $5 = $995 / $4.20 ≈ 237 coins).

Gain scenario:

If the price of TON increases by 10%, your portfolio will now be worth $1,100 CAD. That’s a gross gain of $100 CAD, or +10% on your original investment.

Trading via CFD

Trading Toncoin via CFDs allows you to speculate on its price movements without actually owning any coins. This approach is available on some licensed brokers. CFD trading involves additional costs: a “spread” (the difference between buy and sell prices) and overnight financing fees if you keep your position open for more than a day. CFDs also enable leverage, which means you can amplify your exposure to the market.

Example with numbers:

You decide to trade TON via CFD with a $1,000 CAD position, using a 5:1 leverage. This gives you $5,000 CAD exposure to Toncoin’s price.

Gain scenario:

If TON rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%. That means a gross gain of $400 CAD on your $1,000 capital (excluding any fees).

Important Advice Before Investing

Always compare the fee structures and conditions of different platforms before buying or trading Toncoin. Your choice between spot purchase and CFD trading should align with your experience, risk appetite, and investment goals. For Canadian investors, using the platform comparison table lower on this page will help you find the solution best suited to your needs.

Our 7 Tips for Buying Toncoin

The latest news about Toncoin

Toncoin’s weekly price rose 2.24%, outperforming many digital assets in a volatile environment. Despite high market volatility, Toncoin recorded positive weekly performance, in contrast with ongoing declines seen in many other major cryptocurrencies. The coin’s closing price on May 15, 2025, stood at 3.08 USD, while the average daily trading volume remained robust at 81.7 million USD, highlighting sustained liquidity. This stability and resilience resonate with Canadian market participants, where exposure to regulated platforms and the pursuit of strong-performing altcoins remain priorities, particularly given recent macroeconomic uncertainty and regulatory adjustments in Canada’s crypto landscape.

Technical momentum is constructive: MACD signals buying potential as Toncoin consolidates above support levels. Recent technical readings indicate bullish short-term signals for Toncoin, as the MACD (12,26,9) turns positive (0.0281), supporting a potential upward reversal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 44.95 suggests a consolidation phase rather than an overbought territory, and the price remains securely above the key support of 2.91 USD. For Canadian institutional and retail traders, such balanced indicators boost confidence in Toncoin as a candidate for short-term positioning, especially when combined with ongoing interest in diversified crypto holdings within Canada’s regulated exchange frameworks.

Integration with Telegram is accelerating user growth and global adoption, underpinning Toncoin’s bullish fundamentals. Toncoin’s ongoing integration with the Telegram messaging platform continues to catalyze global adoption, driving increased transaction volume and new decentralized applications (dApps) on the network. This ecosystem growth is highly relevant for crypto users and fintech startups in Canada, given the country's strong adoption rate for messenger-driven financial platforms and a vibrant developer community. Telegram’s sizable Canadian user base amplifies the potential domestic impact, with seamless crypto payments and in-app innovations expected to support mainstream onboarding and cross-border remittance use cases.

Recent partnerships and blockchain infrastructure upgrades are positioning Toncoin as a leading Web3 contender in Canada. The launch of advanced features such as the TON Application Chain (TAC) and the release of MyTONWallet V3.6 (May 6, 2025) strengthen Toncoin’s ecosystem and technical appeal. Notably, Toncoin’s strategic partnership with Ethena and ongoing scalability enhancements have generated renewed optimism within Canada’s Web3 and fintech sectors. These developments align with increased Canadian regulatory clarity around decentralized finance and digital asset infrastructure, facilitating greater institutional interest and use-case experimentation.

Market outlook remains positive with medium-term analyst consensus targeting 30% price upside, supported by credible growth forecasts. Market analysts currently set a consensus price target of 4.00 USD for Toncoin, suggesting a potential 30% upside from current levels. This outlook is underpinned by forecasts that Toncoin could reach between 5.59 EUR and 13.42 USD by the end of 2025, driven by ongoing user adoption and product expansion. For Canadian investors—who benefit from growing access to platforms listing TON and strong national interest in blockchain innovation—the medium-term positives are noteworthy, especially amidst broader institutional appetite for exposure to promising, non-U.S. blockchain projects.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.