Should I buy SMCI stock in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the performance of SMCI for more than three years. Each month, hundreds of thousands of users across Canada rely on us to break down market trends and highlight the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are published for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, we have never received, and will never receive, any compensation from SMCI.

What is SMCI?

How much is SMCI stock?

The price of SMCI stock is rising this week. As of May 2, 2025, SMCI trades at $32.73 USD, showing a 24-hour increase of 1.2% and a positive weekly change of 2.8%. The company holds a market capitalization of $19.53 billion, with an average 3-month trading volume of 4.1 million shares.

Investors should note that while SMCI’s valuation remains attractive, ongoing fluctuations may present both challenges and unique opportunities for the Canadian market.

Our full analysis on SMCI stock

We have closely reviewed Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s (SMCI) latest financial disclosures, charted its remarkable stock performance over the past three years, and applied our proprietary multi-factor analysis—incorporating financial indicators, technical signals, comparative market data, and competitive benchmarking. The convergence of these insights highlights dynamic shifts in market sentiment and company positioning over recent quarters. So, why might SMCI stock once again become a strategic entry point into the global AI infrastructure sector in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

SMCI’s stock price journey over the past year has been nothing short of dramatic, with the shares currently trading around $32.73 as of May 2, 2025—significantly below their 52-week high of $101.40, yet still nearly doubling from the yearly low of $17.25. While the recent pullback from all-time highs may initially appear disconcerting, a closer look at the underlying numbers reveals sustained market confidence and solid business momentum.

Recent events bolstering short-term optimism include SMCI’s preliminary Q2 FY2025 results, which point to net sales between $5.6 billion and $5.7 billion, marking an impressive 54% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Earnings have held steady, with non-GAAP net income per diluted share growing 5% year-over-year, bucking the trend for many technology peers. The updated annual revenue guidance, adjusted to $23.5–$25 billion, reflects a prudent approach in an evolving demand environment yet still signals substantial top-line delivery compared to historic norms.

On a sector-wide level, the market backdrop remains notably favourable. The AI infrastructure investment cycle, driven by hyperscalers, cloud providers, and enterprise digital transformation, continues to accelerate. Macro trends—particularly adoption of AI workloads, data center upgrades, and 5G integration—create a sustained runway for growth in high-performance computing solutions, directly benefiting innovative incumbents like SMCI. The company’s U.S. listing and global footprint offer Canadian investors both international diversification and exposure to transformative technology sectors.

Technical Analysis

Despite bullish fundamentals, SMCI’s technical picture currently reflects the aftermath of a major correction. As of early May, all major simple moving averages (5-, 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day) rest above the current price—clear evidence of recent downward momentum and a “death cross” formation with the 50-day SMA below the 200-day SMA. Such structures typically reflect prior distribution phases; however, they often precede capitulation and basing patterns that can set the stage for robust recoveries.

• RSI (14-day) at 43.95 sits in neutral territory, bridging oversold and consolidation zones.
• MACD at -0.69 signals continuing short-term downside but at decelerating intensity.
• Williams %R at -65.95 and ADX at 13.04 both lean positive, suggesting a subtle return of bullish undertones and emerging accumulation.
• CCI (-85.83) remains neutral but further declines could tip the balance toward value territory.

Key technical supports can be identified near $30—the lower end of the recent consolidation range—while upside resistance sits firmly at $38 and $42, corresponding to the 50-day and 200-day SMAs. For technically-minded investors, such pronounced dislocation often presents opportunity for well-timed entry as volatility compresses and new uptrends take hold.

Fundamental Analysis

SMCI’s fundamentals stand out within the crowded tech hardware space. Revenue growth continues to outpace peers, with a remarkable 54% year-over-year surge in the latest reported period. The company’s EBITDA margin remains robust, and a return on equity of 31.01% alongside a profit margin approaching 7% reflects sound capital stewardship and scalable business economics.

Valuation is particularly compelling. The trailing P/E ratio of 14.23, and an even more attractive forward P/E of 8.97, align SMCI with value-oriented profiles seldom seen among high-growth tech companies. A price-to-sales ratio just shy of 1.0 and price-to-book at 3.13 further underscore potential undervaluation relative to industry averages and the future cash flows implied by the AI megatrend.

• Innovation engine: Leadership in direct liquid cooling (DLC) serves rising demand for energy- and cost-efficient AI server deployments.
• Diverse and global production: Facilities in the US, Taiwan, and the Netherlands position SMCI to serve global hyperscaler and enterprise needs with logistical flexibility and scale.
• Brand equity: Supermicro has cultivated a strong reputation through modular, client-optimized solutions—leading to entrenched relationships with key industry players.

While some headline risks persist (e.g., DOJ/SEC investigations, reporting delays), SMCI’s operational trajectory and strategic moat remain intact, underscoring its resilience.

Volume and Liquidity

SMCI’s trading volume has consistently evidenced high market participation, with liquidity ratios supporting ease of access for institutional and retail investors alike. Sustained volume at current levels reflects that the stock is actively traded, even amid sharp swings, indicating ongoing market engagement and operator interest.

The company’s share float is conducive to dynamic valuation adjustments. Unlike smaller cap or illiquid equities, SMCI’s structure allows for efficient price discovery, creating a fertile ground for momentum-driven rallies once sentiment turns and short-term headwinds subside.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

• Product innovation: Continued investment in direct liquid cooling and rack-scale integration positions SMCI to win additional hyperscale AI deployments as data center energy demands soar.
• AI expansion: SMCI’s turnkey infrastructure makes it indispensable for clients scaling large language models and generative AI applications—trends expected to accelerate through 2025 and beyond.
• ESG leadership: Supermicro’s focus on energy-efficient computing and sustainable cooling aligns with both regulatory priorities and customer mandates.
• Manufacturing efficiency: Global facilities allow rapid response to demand spikes while insulating the business from regional risk and supply chain disruption.
• Potential M&A and partnerships: With a strong balance sheet and proven innovation cycle, SMCI is well placed to either acquire adjacent capabilities or form joint ventures, driving further growth.
• Regulatory progress: Resolution of US regulatory inquiries and filing delays could deliver a significant sentiment boost—unlocking institutional flows and restoring positive price momentum.
• Sectoral winds: The continued expansion of the generative AI and “AI as infrastructure” cycle provides the broader sector lift that often sparks powerful rallies in leading enablers like SMCI.

Investment Strategies

• Short-term traders may look for momentum reversals as price approaches major support around $30, targeting quick rebounds or range reversion trades as sentiment stabilizes.
• Medium-term investors could position ahead of key events—most notably, the upcoming May 6 earnings release and potential regulatory clarity. Such catalysts have historically catalyzed powerful and sustained moves for SMCI.
• Long-term investors may find current prices especially attractive, given both the dramatic discount to 52-week highs and the company’s entrenched role in the multi-year AI infrastructure upgrade cycle. This thesis remains underpinned by strong cash generation, scalable operations, and clear sectoral tailwinds.

For all time horizons, risk management remains essential, but the combination of technical mean-reversion potential and business strength suggests that the current levels may prove to be a compelling base.

Is it the Right Time to Buy SMCI?

To summarize, SMCI sits at a crossroads where price, value, and sector leadership intersect. The sharp correction from recent highs combined with robust market participation and improving sentiment signals a technical reset that, when viewed alongside stellar revenue growth, sector-defining innovation, and a solid balance sheet, may offer an excellent opportunity for investors seeking exposure to high-growth technology infrastructure.

SMCI’s fundamentals justify renewed interest—forward earnings multiples remain attractive given its AI-driven revenue acceleration, and the company’s global, modular approach provides a resilient foundation upon which to scale. The regulatory environment, while worthy of scrutiny, appears to be well managed with transparent communication and ongoing compliance initiatives.

As the next wave of AI infrastructure spending gains pace, SMCI stands at the forefront with differentiated products and a growing global footprint. Investors looking for a strategic entry into the AI and data center transformation themes should seriously consider SMCI at current price levels; the technical setup, positive catalysts, and long-term growth vector all point toward a potential new bullish phase in 2025 and beyond.

For those seeking dynamic exposure to the powerful intersection of innovation, operational strength, and sectoral momentum, SMCI seems to represent an excellent opportunity as it transitions from a period of uncertainty toward renewed growth and market leadership.

How to buy SMCI stock in Canada?

Buying shares of Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) online is both straightforward and secure for Canadian investors, thanks to regulated brokers overseen by Canadian authorities. You have two main choices: purchasing SMCI shares outright (spot buying), or trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs) that mirror the stock’s price performance. Each approach suits different investor profiles and goals. If you’re unsure which you prefer, check out our broker comparison further down the page to find the platform that aligns best with your needs.

Spot Buying (Cash Purchase)

A cash purchase of SMCI stock means you directly own actual shares of Super Micro Computer, Inc., becoming a part-owner of the company. This traditional approach is ideal if you want to benefit from potential price appreciation and, if ever available, dividends. Most Canadian brokers charge a fixed commission for each stock trade, typically around $4.99–$9.99 per order, quoted in Canadian dollars.

Example

Example: Suppose the SMCI share price is $32.73 USD (about $45 CAD as of the latest exchange rates). With a $1,000 CAD investment, after a typical $5 brokerage fee, you could buy roughly 22 shares ($995 / $45 ≈ 22 shares).
✔️ Gain scenario: If the share price rises by 10%, your 22 shares are now worth about $1,100 CAD.
Result: That’s a +$100 gross gain, or +10% on your original investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading on SMCI shares allows you to speculate on the price movement without actually owning the underlying shares. CFDs offer the advantage of using leverage—which can magnify both gains and losses. You pay a “spread” (the difference between buy and sell price), along with possible overnight financing costs if holding the position past the trading day.

Example

Example: Let’s say you commit $1,000 CAD as margin with 5× leverage. This means you control a position worth $5,000 CAD based on SMCI’s current price.
✔️ Gain scenario: If SMCI’s price climbs by 8%, thanks to your leverage, your gain is 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: That’s a $400 profit on your $1,000 stake (before any fees or interest charges).

Final Advice

Before investing, it’s essential to compare brokers’ fees, trading tools, and conditions, as these can greatly affect your results. Whether you choose spot buying for long-term ownership or trading CFDs for short-term speculation depends on your investment objectives and risk appetite. To help you decide, our detailed broker comparison is available further down the page. Investing in SMCI can be a rewarding opportunity—take the time to choose the right approach for you.

Platforms

Minimum Deposit

Discover

#1

Tier 1 regulation, including ASIC and FSA

#1

Star Trader

4.9

Minimum Deposit

$50

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with our partner Star Trader

#2

Broker specializing in Forex and CFDs

#2

IFC Markets

4.8

Minimum Deposit

$1

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with our partner IFC Markets

#3

Broker regulated since 2006

#3

Avatrade

4.8

Minimum Deposit

$100

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with our partner Avatrade

Our 7 tips for buying SMCI stock

The latest news about SMCI

Super Micro Computer affirmed robust Q2 FY2025 revenue growth with positive implications for North American data centre clients. SMCI reported preliminary Q2 FY2025 net sales of $5.6–$5.7 billion, marking a 54% year-over-year increase at the midpoint, supported by a steady expansion in AI and cloud infrastructure demand across the continent. This robust revenue surge demonstrates the company’s continued penetration into enterprise and hyperscale data centre markets, many of which are relevant for Canadian cloud service providers, AI startups, and institutional users that increasingly rely on high-density computing solutions. The fiscal update comes ahead of the official Q2 earnings announcement on May 6, 2025, reinforcing SMCI’s role as a premier hardware supplier to North America’s accelerating AI infrastructure buildout.

Direct Liquid Cooling technology roll-out remains a catalyst for Canadian data centre efficiency and energy strategy alignment. With over 30% of new global data centres expected to adopt SMCI's DLC solutions within the next 12 months, the company’s strategic focus on advanced cooling aligns closely with Canada’s energy-efficiency priorities. Canadian data centre operators have a strong incentive to deploy cutting-edge, sustainable infrastructure in the context of federal and provincial climate commitments. SMCI’s leadership in direct liquid cooling thus enhances its appeal to Canadian institutional clients navigating energy regulations, carbon reduction goals, and growing demand for high-performance computing.

SMCI’s ongoing regulatory filing delays remain contained to U.S. compliance, with no direct Canadian operational impact reported. Although the company continues to address delays in the filing of recent annual and quarterly reports – resulting in compliance notices from NASDAQ and U.S. regulatory bodies – there have been no indications of direct repercussions or operational challenges affecting Canadian customers or business partners. Canadian analysts and investors should principally monitor these disclosure issues as general corporate governance risk, but local enterprise adoption and delivery timelines appear unaffected based on available client communications and order flow.

Canadian investor sentiment remains cautiously constructive, supported by reasonable valuation and exposure to global AI trends. SMCI trades at a forward P/E of 8.97, notably below the average for North American technology peers, and features a return on equity (TTM) of over 31%. These metrics have attracted attention from institutional investors in Canada, who are seeking diversified exposure to the surging global AI infrastructure cycle. This valuation, combined with the company’s positive non-GAAP earnings growth and product innovation momentum, supports moderate optimism among Canadian analysts, even as the sector navigates increased volatility.

Recent technical signals point to short-term weakness, but Canadian exposure offers longer-term growth optionality for patient investors. Technical indicators, including moving averages and a recent “death cross,” reflect persistent near-term selling pressure on SMCI shares, warning of potential price softness heading into the upcoming earnings announcement. Nevertheless, as Canadian technology funds and growth-focused strategies look to capitalize on North American AI and cloud market leadership, SMCI remains a compelling candidate for portfolios with a sufficient time horizon to look beyond current technical weakness and regulatory headlines.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.